Pandora has 78m active users but growth has stalled. Adding the $9.99 service, for which Pandora takes 30-35 per cent, is unlikely to solve that. But it may help deter users in search of a premium service from switching to rivals. Pandora reckons it can have a $1.3bn subscription business in five years, which would require almost 11m users to upgrade. The company has data to inform that estimate, but does not explain why those of its customers with the propensity to pay have not already taken up the on-demand services available from rivals.
The big question is how replicable is the newly enhanced internet radio product, which will continue to support the bulk of revenues. Pandora has played catch-up in on-demand.